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Stablecoins could capture $1 trillion from the banking sector

by Christian

Stablecoins are now establishing themselves as the new popular use case in the cryptocurrency sector, with the potential to disrupt the global monetary balance. This development could capture $1 trillion directly from the banking sector over the next few years.

Stablecoins: an estimated $1 trillion in bank deposits captured

The stablecoin market is emerging as one of the crypto trends of 2025, with a total market capitalization that has just surpassed the symbolic $300 billion mark. This is a drop in the ocean compared to the forecasts for the future, with amounts now estimated in the trillions of dollars. And with good reason, as even the banking sector is taking an interest in these cryptocurrencies backed by traditional currencies, more than 99% of which are currently denominated in dollars.

This situation has prompted Standard Chartered Bank to warn of what it describes as the biggest capital flight the banking sector has ever seen. Indeed, the stablecoin market could capture the equivalent of $1 trillion “leaving emerging market banks (…) within about three years.”

This situation was highlighted by Geoffrey Kendrick, head of crypto-asset research at Standard Chartered. This is particularly true in the face of significant macroeconomic uncertainties that will push individuals and businesses in emerging markets to place their money in stablecoin portfolios rather than traditional banks.

Stablecoins offer consumers and businesses in emerging markets new access to what amounts to a US dollar bank account. This makes the risk of deposit flight greater in these markets than in developed countries.

Geoffrey Kendrick

Savings estimated at $1.22 trillion by the end of 2028

Industry leader Tether (USDT) understands this very well: the future of stablecoins lies far beyond regulatory approval in European or US markets… which it is struggling to obtain. In fact, their growth is already well underway and much faster in emerging markets.

This reality is confirmed by figures from Standard Chartered, which show a significant increase in the use of stablecoins as a savings tool in developing economies, with an estimated amount of $1.22 trillion by the end of 2028, compared to $173 billion currently.

This is certainly a significant estimate, but it ultimately represents only 2% of bank deposits for the 16 countries considered to be at “high risk” of deposit flight. These include the fragile economies of Egypt, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Morocco, and Kenya, but also major economies such as Turkey, India, China, Brazil, and South Africa.

Countries most exposed to the risk of deposit flight to stablecoins

In the United States, the banking sector is attempting to limit this flight of deposits to the stablecoin market with the support of the GENIUS Act regulatory framework, which prohibits issuers from paying returns to their holders. This is a pipe dream, considering that leading players such as Coinbase and PayPal currently offer this type of reward, thanks to stablecoins issued by third-party companies.

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